Washington Examiner
A new deep dive into discrepancies in the
ballot counts of six key battleground states in the 2020 election
has
turned up more than 250,000 "excess votes" for President Joe Biden
, and maybe far more.
The key point in the upcoming
peer-reviewed study for journal Public Choice
by economist and noted gun expert John Lott Jr. is that the
excess voting may challenge - or explain - Biden's margin of victory over former President Donald Trump in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin
.
In his report, on the Public Choice website but still awaiting final approval,
Lott said that there were 255,000 excess votes and possibly as many as 368,000 for Biden in the key states
.
And in a review of his
statistical study
he provided to Real Clear Politics, he said that "
Biden only carried these states - Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin - by a total of 313,253 votes. Excluding Michigan, the gap was 159,065
."
Lott, who runs the Crime Prevention Research Center, said that his
report was not meant to overturn the 2020 election, but to reinforce the need for changes to voter identification, absentee voting and provisional ballots
.
"The point of this work isn't to contest the 2020 election, but to
point out that we have a real problem that needs to be dealt with. Americans must have confidence in future elections
," he wrote on RCP.
In the study, Lott reviewed voter registration rolls, actual in-person vote counts, absentee voting and provisional ballots in counties where fraud has been alleged or suggested. He
compared those counts to neighboring counties, arguing that the percentages should be similar
.
What he found were major differences, raising questions of fraud.
He found unexplained votes, vast difference in absentee voting and other problems such as bloated voter lists and felons illegally voting.
"
In Fulton County, Georgia, 2,423 voters were not listed on the state's records as registered, and 2,560 felons voted even though they had not completed their sentences
," Lott said in the report.
He concluded, "
The voter turnout rate data provide stronger evidence of significant excess Biden votes in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin
. The estimates imply that the counties wherein vote fraud was alleged returned between 142,000 and 368,000 excess Biden votes.
While the findings reported here are dramatic, they may be underestimates because the voter turnout estimates do not
account
ballots cast for the opposing candidate that are lost, destroyed, or replaced with ballots filled out for the other candidate. While it would involve a lot more work, it would be possible to apply the precinct level tests to compare turnout rates in adjacent precincts across all the counties where fraud was alleged
."
The findings are likely to continue fueling questions raised by Trump supporters and the former president himself that an election they saw going their way on Election night turned against them after midnight.